AB Dynamics (ABDP)
At the beginning of the year I bought AIM super stock, AB Dynamics and after 5 months it has earned a return of over 50%. This is extremely impressive compared to a return of around 12% for the FTSE AIM 100 and a rise of only 7% for the FTSE 100 for the same period.
The
company’s high growth performance isn’t just in isolation either, with the
stock producing over a 357% return since the start of 2017, suggesting that this
isn’t just a lucky year or an overhyped valuation by the market. So the
question is, can the stock continue to grow?
WHAT THEY DO
AB
Dynamics supply integrated test systems for the automotive industry, with a
client list that includes major brands such as BMW, Audi, and Chrysler. The
stock is currently listed on the FTSE AIM market, with a market cap of £471
million.
The
testing industry may be an unglamorous part of the automotive industry versus
investing in brands such as BMW and Rolls Royce, but it is an important part of
the value chain for such brands. With strict legislation in place for car
safety requirements, testing is a crucial step in the production process and this
is where AB Dynamics come in.
The company has managed to benefit from
the fact that it is cheaper to hire their abilities to test electric and
self-driving cars than it is to produce internal operations. As such, the
company is operating in a space where large players don’t want to enter and
would rather hire companies with relevant expertise, such as AB Dynamics.
The
company’s underlying fundamentals continue to look strong with a high operating
margin of 21% and a return on capital employed at 20% in 2018. This shows that
the company is highly effective in its use of capital, and the profit that it
produces from sales is above average fuelling growth. This arguably indicates
that strong management is in place to lead the business for future growth,
along with an effective business model that is currently dominating its niche
market.
TRENDS FOR GROWTH
AB
Dynamics due to its positioning is also set to benefit from trends in both
driverless and electric vehicles. For example, electric cars are increasingly
in demand due to regulatory pressures from the UK government, with the sales of
diesel cars in the UK to be banned in 2040. This has lead to an
increase in demand for the testing that AB Dynamics supplies.
Due
to recent success, the company has targeted expansion into new markets, with the
firm opening a new office in Germany in 2018 to target continental Europe. The
company is therefore well-positioned to tap into growing demand in the EU, with
Germany the first EU country to legalise automotive driving vehicles.
OUTLOOK
I
think that with the company’s past performance, strong business fundamentals
and its strategy to tap into increasing market demand all provide strong
indicators for future growth potential for the stock. As a result, I’m going to
hold AB Dynamics for the long term to achieve further returns.
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